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Is Social Security A Ponzi Scheme?

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Handling Market Volatility

February 12, 2023

Most people have heard of a Ponzi Scheme. Titled from Charles Ponzi's investment fraud in the 1920s. A Ponzi Scheme is a fraud that involves paying existing investors in a nonexistent enterprise with the funds collected from new investors. They work by promising high returns with low risk to lure in investors. Eventually the scheme will collapse by not bringing in enough money from new investors to pay those pulling money out.

While Social Security is not an investment and every working citizen is forced to contribute, whether they want to or not, it very mush is Ponzi-Like. What most people don't understand, is that the money they are paying in today, is not going into some special lockbox or account for them in the future. Today's contributions are paying for today's retiree distributions. This is where Social Security acts like a Ponzi scheme. With people living longer in retirement and generational population changes, if there are few workers paying into the system than retirees pulling from the system, then we could have a Ponzi-like collapse.

According to the 2020 CBO (Congressional Budget Office), the trust fund for Social Security will run short of money in 2031. There have been some small changes over the years on how Social Security is taxed that have help delayed the sky from falling. But without some sweeping changes, we have a problem. In a Ponzi scheme, you have to keep getting new investors. With Social Security, we need to keep getting more workers. And with the average family birthrate shrinking, there just won't be enough workers to cover the original promise. It is too late to set up private social security accounts, because current retirees still need to be paid. So benefits will have to get watered down every decade, until population demographics change.

Since what you paid into the system, is not your specific dollars, when you pass away your heirs do not get those dollars. So that makes Social Security very discriminatory. Black Americans life expectancy is five years less than White Americans. This means they are not likely to get back as much in benefits. Asian Americans, expectancy is eleven years more and Hispanic Americans are seven years more than African Americans.

Social Security may not technically be a Ponzi Scheme. But it sure isn't a fair system.


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About the author

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Van Pappas

Vice President, Private CFO®

Van Pappas, CFP® - Van is a native of Atlanta. He holds his undergraduate degree in Finance with an emphasis in Real Estate. As a planner for 15 years, he earned his CFP designation from Kaplan University. He is currently the Chairman and founder of the Chamblee Chamber of Commerce and sits on the Downtown Development Authority for the City of Chamblee. In 2012, he noticed the value of helping the X-Y Generations and decided to merge his practice with oXYGen Financial.

Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS), an affiliate of Kestra IS. oXYGen Financial is not affiliated with Kestra IS or Kestra AS. Kestra IS and Kestra AS do not provide tax or legal advice. Investor Disclosures: https://bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

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