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The Impact of Inflation on American Birth Rates

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Rising Costs of Raising a Child

Is inflation making American families have fewer children? According to USDA data and BLS inflation statistics, raising a child in 2023 could cost an average of $331,933 from birth until the age of 18. This figure excludes college education costs if parents choose to contribute. In 2015, this number was $233,610, showing a significant increase in expenses for daycare, food, and housing. As a result, American families need an additional $100,000 to support one child through high school compared to just a few years ago.

Delaying or Forgoing Parenthood

Young families today are not just delaying parenthood; many are deciding to forgo having children altogether, with financial considerations at the core of their decisions. The U.S. birthrate is at a record low, with fewer babies born in 2023 than any year since 1979. These trends could drastically alter the fabric of American neighborhoods and create a substantial deficit in the labor force in the coming decades.

Housing Affordability: A Key Concern

One of the main factors influencing young voters and their financial readiness to have children is the affordability of housing. More than 91% of adult Gen Z individuals consider housing affordability a crucial issue when deciding who to vote for in the upcoming election. This concern surpasses other significant issues like abortion rights, gun laws, and foreign conflicts.

The financial challenges young people face highlight why fewer are choosing to have children and how the rising cost of living impacts their ability to afford a family. In 1980, the median home price in the United States was $50,000, while the median income was $25,000. Today, the median home price has soared to $423,000, while the median income is about $65,000. This shift means the home price to income ratio has tripled from 2:1 to 6:1 over the past 45 years.

Lifestyle Choices and Financial Pressures

Beyond financial concerns, many Gen Z individuals are prioritizing personal time, travel, and alternative lifestyles over starting a family. The DINK (Dual Income No Kids) phenomenon, which began in the 1980s, has gained popularity on platforms like TikTok and is becoming a conscious choice for this generation. Some Gen Z individuals also cite climate change and political instability as non-financial reasons for not wanting to bring children into the world.

Generational Financial Challenges

As a parent of three children in their 20s, I find it ironic to consider the contrast between my generation's desire to "get them off payroll" and my children's reluctance to "bring someone onto payroll." According to the 2024 Bank of America State of Gen Z's Financial Health report, over 50% of Gen Z adults view the cost of living as their biggest challenge and greatest barrier to success. This financial strain fosters doubt about their ability to care for another human being.

The Broader Economic Impact

With credit card debt nearing $1.2 trillion, student debt at $1.7 trillion, and over $1 trillion in outstanding auto loan debt, addressing the rising cost of inflation will be a critical task for the next President of the United States. It's not just about managing daily expenses like fuel, food, and rent but also about instilling confidence in younger generations that starting a family is both a viable and affordable option.

Currently, the high cost of living is driving this generation to prioritize personal financial stability over future family planning. To reverse this trend, significant economic changes are necessary to make family life financially feasible for younger generations.

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The Great Wealth Transfer: What Millennials and Gen Z Need to Know

About the author

Ted Jenkin in a suit and tie

Ted Jenkin

Business Consultant

Hey!

My friends and family all think I'm a workaholic, but I say I'm just a guy that loves to help people do better in life.

My mother is still the only one that calls me by my real name Theodore Michael, my wife calls me Teddy, but for the rest of you it is just plain old Ted.

Ever since I was a little kid, I always loved money and being an entrepreneur. In fact, I still have cassette tapes of me talking to my grandmother at the age of five and my mother tells me all the time how much I played with money as a kid...

Ted Jenkin is a frequent guest columnist for the Wall Street Journal and Headline News Weekend Express. He is the co-CEO of oXYGen Financial. You can follow him on LinkedIn @ www.linkedin.com/in/theceoadvisor or on Twitter @tedjenkin.

Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS), an affiliate of Kestra IS. oXYGen Financial is not affiliated with Kestra IS or Kestra AS. Kestra IS and Kestra AS do not provide tax or legal advice. Investor Disclosures: https://bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

Background and qualification information is available at FINRA's BrokerCheck website.

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Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS), an affiliate of Kestra IS. oXYGen Financial is not affiliated with Kestra IS or Kestra AS. Kestra IS and Kestra AS do not provide tax or legal advice. https://Bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

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