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How 2025 Market Conditions Could Impact Your Homebuying Decision

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June 29, 2025

If you've been watching the real estate market with interest—or concern—you're not alone. Between rising and falling mortgage rates, unpredictable home prices, and shifting economic forecasts, making the decision to buy property in 2025 can feel overwhelming.

Whether you're considering downsizing, relocating, investing, or purchasing a vacation home, now is a good time to take a thoughtful look at where the housing market stands—and whether 2025 could be the right time for you.

Mortgage Rates: Easing, But Still Elevated

One of the biggest factors affecting affordability is mortgage interest rates. After several interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in recent years, mortgage rates rose significantly. At the start of 2024, many 30-year fixed rates were hovering around 7%.

As of mid-2025, rates have come down slightly—many lenders are now offering rates in the mid-6% range, with occasional promotional offers below that for well-qualified buyers. If inflation continues to cool and the economy slows modestly, the Fed may lower rates again later this year, making borrowing a bit more affordable.

Bottom line: While rates are not as low as they were a few years ago, they've improved from recent highs. Locking in a rate now could be a smart move before home prices increase again.

Housing Inventory and Prices: Signs of Balance

Over the past few years, low inventory and high demand created a difficult market for buyers. That's beginning to shift in 2025.

Many homeowners who previously held off on selling (due to their low mortgage rates) are now putting their homes on the market. This increase in listings is helping to ease some of the pressure on prices, especially in suburban and smaller metro areas.

That said, high-demand cities—such as Miami, Nashville, and Austin—are still experiencing strong competition and firm prices. If you're willing to be flexible on location, you may find better value in less crowded markets.

Bottom line: 2025 may offer a good buying window—particularly if you're open to exploring different regions.

Inflation, Cost of Living, and Owning vs. Renting

Inflation has cooled compared to previous years, but the cost of goods, labor, and construction remains high. This affects both home prices and rental costs.

In many cities, rent continues to rise steadily, making the decision to buy a home more appealing over the long term. Owning a home can offer more stability—your mortgage payment stays predictable, while rents often increase every year. Homeownership also allows you to build equity instead of paying someone else's mortgage.

Bottom line: If your finances are in good shape and you plan to stay put for at least five years, buying a home in 2025 could help protect your budget and build long-term value.

Government Programs and Buyer Assistance

To help ease the cost of homeownership, many states and local governments have expanded programs to support buyers—especially first-time or older buyers.

These programs may include:

  • Down payment assistance or grants
  • Reduced-interest mortgage loans
  • Tax incentives for energy-efficient homes
  • Forgivable second mortgages

Additionally, new zoning laws and housing developments may increase affordable housing options in the near future.

Bottom line: There may be more support available in 2025 than in years past. It's worth speaking with a local real estate professional to explore your options.

Real Estate as a Long-Term Investment

Real estate has long been a reliable way to preserve and grow wealth. While short-term fluctuations in the market can be unpredictable, home values tend to rise over time.

If you're not looking to "flip" a home for profit, but rather buy for personal use or to create a lasting asset for your family, 2025 could present a solid opportunity. Buying in a stabilizing market—before the next wave of competition or price growth—could help you build equity more effectively.

Bottom line: For buyers with a long-term view, this year may be an excellent time to get in.

Risks to Keep in Mind

Even with signs of improvement, the housing market in 2025 comes with some risks:

  1. Economic uncertainty: If the job market weakens, we could see more financial stress for households.
  2. Interest rate changes: If inflation ticks back up, interest rates could rise again.
  3. Competitive areas: In certain cities, bidding wars are back. Be cautious about overpaying.

Bottom line: Plan carefully, stay within your budget, and work with experienced professionals.

Ask Yourself: Is This the Right Time for You?

The real question isn't whether 2025 is a universally good year to buy—it's whether the timing fits your personal situation. Consider these important questions:

  • Do I have a steady income or retirement plan in place?
  • Am I prepared for the ongoing costs of homeownership (taxes, insurance, maintenance)?
  • Do I plan to stay in the home for several years?
  • Have I reviewed my estate plans and future needs?

If the answer is "yes" to most of these, and you've found a property that fits your lifestyle and budget, this could be the right year for you to make a move.

2025 is shaping up to be a more balanced year for real estate—especially compared to the highs and lows of recent times. With mortgage rates gradually improving, inventory increasing, and government programs offering additional support, there's reason for cautious optimism.

As always, the best time to buy property is when you feel financially prepared, emotionally ready, and confident in your long-term plans. For many older buyers—whether you're downsizing, relocating, or simply investing in peace of mind—2025 could be your opportunity.

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Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS), an affiliate of Kestra IS. oXYGen Financial is not affiliated with Kestra IS or Kestra AS. Kestra IS and Kestra AS do not provide tax or legal advice.

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The opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and may not necessarily reflect those held by Kestra Investment Services, LLC or Kestra Advisory Services, LLC. This is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific investment advice or recommendations for any individual. It is suggested that you consult your financial professional, attorney, or tax advisor with regard to your individual situation.

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Securities offered through Kestra Investment Services, LLC (Kestra IS), member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advisory services offered through Kestra Advisory Services, LLC (Kestra AS), an affiliate of Kestra IS. oXYGen Financial is not affiliated with Kestra IS or Kestra AS. Kestra IS and Kestra AS do not provide tax or legal advice. https://Bit.ly/KF-Disclosures

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